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Author |
Fabri, C.; Moretti, M.; Van Passel, S. |
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Title |
On the (ir)relevance of heatwaves in climate change impacts on European agriculture |
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A1 Journal article |
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Year  |
2022 |
Publication |
Climatic Change |
Abbreviated Journal |
Climatic Change |
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Volume |
174 |
Issue |
1-2 |
Pages |
16-20 |
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Keywords |
A1 Journal article; Engineering Management (ENM) |
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Abstract |
The Ricardian model is a widely used approach based on cross-sectional regression analysis to estimate climate change impacts on agricultural productivity. Up until now, researchers have focused on the impacts of gradual changes in temperature and precipitation, even though climate change is known to encompass also changes in the severity and frequency of extreme weather events. This research investigates the impact of heatwaves on European agriculture, additional to the impact of average climate change. Using a dataset of more than 60,000 European farms, the study examines whether adding a measure for heatwaves to the Ricardian model influences its results. We find that heatwaves have a minor impact on agricultural productivity and that this impact is moderated by average temperature. In colder regions, farm productivity increases with the number of heatwave days. For warmer regions, land values decrease with heatwave frequency. Despite the moderating effect, the marginal effect of heatwave frequency, i.e. the percentage change in agricultural land values caused by one more heatwave day per year, is small in comparison to the effect of average temperature increases. Non-marginal effects are found to be relevant, but only in the case of increased heatwave frequency. According to our results, farms are not expected to suffer more from extreme weather than from mean climate change, as was claimed by several previous studies. |
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Wos |
000861873100002 |
Publication Date |
2022-09-29 |
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ISSN |
0165-0009; 1573-1480 |
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Additional Links |
UA library record; WoS full record |
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Impact Factor |
4.8 |
Times cited |
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Open Access |
OpenAccess |
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Notes |
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Approved |
Most recent IF: 4.8 |
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Call Number |
UA @ admin @ c:irua:191483 |
Serial |
7364 |
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Author |
Vanschoenwinkel, J.; Van Passel, S. |
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Title |
Climate response of rainfed versus irrigated farms: the bias of farm heterogeneity in irrigation |
Type |
A1 Journal article |
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Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Climatic Change |
Abbreviated Journal |
Climatic Change |
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Volume |
147 |
Issue |
1-2 |
Pages |
225-234 |
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Keywords |
A1 Journal article; Engineering Management (ENM) |
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Abstract |
Researchers who do not take into account farm heterogeneity in implementing specific climate change adaptation options might significantly bias their findings. To prove this point, this paper focusses on irrigation as an adaptation option to climate change and highlights the fact that there is no such thing as “irrigation.” Instead, different farms consider water management options across a spectrum that ranges from purely rainfed farms to purely irrigated farms with in between the extreme practices such as supplemental irrigation, water conservation practices, and different irrigation techniques. Accounting for such differences is necessary, yet difficult due to a lack of farm-specific data on water management and irrigation. This paper uses unique Farm Accountancy Data Network data of Western European farmers on the proportion of farmland that each farm irrigates. Unlike previous work, this allows taking into account some within-irrigation heterogeneity instead of simply categorizing farms as being “irrigated.” We estimate and compare climate response models based on the Ricardian cross-sectional method for a large range of irrigation categories. The results give insights into how the farm irrigation climate response can be significantly different depending on how irrigation is defined. This proves that ignoring within-adaptation differences when comparing non-adaptation with adaptation (in this case, rainfed versus irrigated agriculture) might lead to biased conclusions with regard to effectiveness of adaptation strategies. We therefore argue that it might be more relevant to understand at which point and under which circumstances irrigated agriculture is more or less beneficial than rainfed agriculture. |
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Wos |
000425959700017 |
Publication Date |
2018-01-16 |
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ISSN |
0165-0009 |
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Additional Links |
UA library record; WoS full record; WoS citing articles; WoS full record; WoS citing articles |
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Impact Factor |
3.496 |
Times cited |
1 |
Open Access |
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Notes |
; This paper was supported by the Horizon 2020 project SUFISA (Grant Agreement No. 635577). ; |
Approved |
Most recent IF: 3.496 |
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Call Number |
UA @ admin @ c:irua:149895 |
Serial |
6166 |
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